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BrazilWorks        P.O. Box 65630        Washington, D.C. 20035        Tel. 202-744-0072        www.brazilworks.org
Dateline Tehran:
Brazil’s Big-League Diplomacy (Part I
)
The Globalist
By Mark S. Langevin, Ph.D.
Brazil does not have the bomb, but it pursues an approach to play in
global diplomacy’s big leagues — by aiming to transcend the conventional
wisdom about power, polarity and the international system.
Read More.


Dateline Tehran:
Brazil’s Big-League Diplomacy (Part II)
President Lula’s government’s rebalancing act has let loose a cascade of
diplomatic initiatives and strategic partnerships with China, India, Russia
and South Africa as well as a slew of cooperative agreements with the
countries of sub-Saharan Africa and the Middle East.
Read More.
Gravity and Turbulence: United States -
Brazil Relations Under Obama and Lula
by Mark Langevin
American Diplomacy
June 22, 2010

Gravity has always kept the United States and Brazil within close orbit, but
the recent turbulence in their bilateral relations is cause for concern and an
important challenge for their respective governments.  Most scholars of U.S.-
Brazil relations were surprised at the intensive presidential diplomacy carried
out by former U.S. President George W. Bush and Brazilian President Luiz
Inácio Lula da Silva. Today, more than a few are increasingly critical of the
bilateral relationship under President Barack Obama’s administration. The
bilateral agenda is ever more complex and both Presidents Obama and Lula
are now accelerating efforts to deepen cooperation, but this hard work is too
often frustrated, sidetracked, and even spoiled by a growing list of contentious
issues.  Although the sheer gravitational pull of people, trade, and investment
draws these countries together, the breadth and complexity of the bilateral
relationship now churns up greater turbulence than ever before.

The double edged issue area of trade has always propelled and perplexed U.
S.-Brazil relations, but the failed negotiations for a Free Trade Area of the
Americas agreement (FTAA), the stalled Doha round of the World Trade
Organization (WTO) negotiations, and Brazil’s successful prosecution of the U.
S. marketing subsidies for domestic cotton producers at the WTO have all
combined to challenge negotiators and policymakers from both governments
while making the flight path to further economic integration all the more
bumpy.
Read more.
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Rouseff Ahead by 16%
in Vox Populi Poll
Brazzil Magazine
Aug. 19, 2010

D
ilma Rousseff, from the Workers Party, seems to be
opening a significant advantage over the other candidates in
the race for the Brazilian presidency. On Tuesday, August 17,
the Vox Populi Institute released a poll for TV Band and the web
portal, iG, showing Dilma 16 percentage points ahead of her
nearest rival, José Serra from the PSDB (Party of the Brazilian
Social Democracy).

In the poll, Dilma has 45% of intended votes, with Serra at 29%
and Marina Silva 8%. The other six candidates did not register
1% altogether. The error margin of the poll is give or take 1.8%.

The poll also registered 5% who would not vote (blank votes)
and 12% undecided.

Vox Populi polled 3,000 voters in 219 municipalities between
August 7 and 10.

Under Brazilian election rules, if the election took place today
Dilma would be elected on October 3, with no need for a runoff
on October 31. That is because, although she would have less
than a majority, she would nevertheless have more votes than
all the other candidates together.

In a previous poll by Ibope, the candidate handpicked by Lula
Brazilian had already widened her lead to 11 percentage points
over opposition candidate.

"A first-round win for Dilma is looking increasingly likely," said
Rafael Cortez, a political scientist at Tendências Consultoria
Integrada in São Paulo.

Candidates now are being allotted free TV and radio
advertising slots. This will increase support for Rousseff
among voters who remain undecided, said Cortez.

"These are mainly voters with low income levels, who have
difficulty getting political information," Cortez said. Rousseff "is
going to gain ground precisely in these sectors."

Rousseff, former cabinet chief to President Lula, rose to 43%
from 39% in the previous poll taken August 2-5, Globo said.
Support for former Sao Paulo Governor Serra, the Social
Democracy Party candidate, fell to 32% from 34%, according to
Globo.
Read more.